Sporting Kansas City 3-2 FC Dallas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 8 Jul 2024

Sporting Kansas City
3-2 HT 2-1
FC Dallas
📅08/07/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.07
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.08
6+ Goals
12%
9.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting Kansas City v FC Dallas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Kansas City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.68/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.51
+6% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
19.9 Crosses 12.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Kansas City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Dallas
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.37 xG 1.11
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
459 Passes 370
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.06.2023 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
19.03.2023 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
10.10.2022 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
11.05.2022 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 4-2 HT 0-2 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABDK
01.05.2022 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 2-2 HT 1-2 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
30.09.2021 FC Dallas FC Dallas 1-3 HT 0-1 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD

Sporting Kansas City 3-2 FC Dallas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Kansas City
3-2
AWAY FC Dallas
2.36 xG 1.85
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 0
415 Passes 358
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Kansas City nicked a narrow win over FC Dallas 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting Kansas City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sporting Kansas City had 54% of the ball to FC Dallas's 46%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 2.36 to 1.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Kansas City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sporting Kansas City and 1.67 for FC Dallas.

What was the final score of Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas?

Sporting Kansas City 3-2 FC Dallas in the USA - Major League on 08/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Kansas City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sporting Kansas City 48%, draw 26%, FC Dallas 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Kansas City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Kansas City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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