San Jose Earthquakes vs Chicago Fire Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Jose Earthquakes v Chicago Fire — Team-Based Signals
San Jose Earthquakes vs Chicago Fire Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
0-2
HT 0-0
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
4-1
HT 1-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
2-1
HT 1-0
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
1-4
HT 0-2
Chicago Fire
ABD
1-0
HT 0-0
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 Chicago Fire — Actual Match Statistics
San Jose Earthquakes nicked a narrow win over Chicago Fire 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day San Jose Earthquakes made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, San Jose Earthquakes had 44% of the ball to Chicago Fire's 56%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.31 to 1.28.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 1.50 for Chicago Fire.
What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Chicago Fire?
San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 Chicago Fire in the USA - Major League on 08/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs Chicago Fire?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Jose Earthquakes win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 39%, draw 27%, Chicago Fire 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Jose Earthquakes) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.