Colorado Rapids 4-1 St. Louis City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 8 Jul 2024

📅08/07/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.44
2-3 Goals
37%
2.0
4-5 Goals
29%
2.67
6+ Goals
14%
6.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1.97
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.7
X/1
21%
4.15
X/2
11%
10.7
X/X
13%
6.53
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
19.75
2/2
9%
7.2
2/X
6%
15.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.75 — our 11% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.2pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.3pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.5pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Louis City EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.66/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.78
-4% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
21.8 Crosses 16.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Rapids
1W-1D-1L
AWAY St. Louis City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.41 xG 1.79
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
361 Passes 283
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.06.2024 St. Louis City St. Louis City 0-3 HT 0-1 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
02.07.2023 St. Louis City St. Louis City 2-0 HT 2-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
23.04.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Louis City St. Louis City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Rapids
4-1
AWAY St. Louis City
2.15 xG 1.02
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
362 Passes 271
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Rapids ran out comfortable winners over St. Louis City 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Colorado Rapids as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Colorado Rapids had 54% of the ball to St. Louis City's 46%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 2.15 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Colorado Rapids and 1.00 for St. Louis City.

What was the final score of Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City?

Colorado Rapids 4-1 St. Louis City in the USA - Major League on 08/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Rapids win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Colorado Rapids 48%, draw 25%, St. Louis City 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colorado Rapids), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Colorado Rapids) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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