Mikkeli 2-6 KaPa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 11 Jul 2024

Mikkeli
2-6 HT 1-3
KaPa
📅11/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Finland - Ykkönen – 2024

Mikkeli vs KaPa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
40%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.37
6+ Goals
11%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 27% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-2.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.3pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mikkeli v KaPa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mikkeli EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY KaPa EU Bookmakers 39%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-39% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Mikkeli vs KaPa Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mikkeli
1W-0D-2L
AWAY KaPa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.05.2024 KaPa KaPa 4-0 HT 2-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
28.06.2023 Mikkeli Mikkeli 6-2 HT 4-1 KaPa KaPa FİN2
16.04.2023 KaPa KaPa 2-0 HT 1-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2

Mikkeli 2-6 KaPa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mikkeli
2-6
AWAY KaPa
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 9
10 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mikkeli vs KaPa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KaPa ran out comfortable winners over Mikkeli 6-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; KaPa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mikkeli had 45% of the ball to KaPa's 55%, shots finished 16-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, KaPa led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mikkeli and 2.67 for KaPa.

What was the final score of Mikkeli vs KaPa?

Mikkeli 2-6 KaPa in the Finland - Ykkönen on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mikkeli vs KaPa?

Before kick-off our model rated an KaPa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mikkeli 35%, draw 25%, KaPa 39%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KaPa), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KaPa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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