11/07/2024
·
21:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-1
24 de Setiembre vs 12 de Junio Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
40%
4-5
24%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
BTTS No
Under 2.5
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
25%
Home Win
19%
23%
Draw
26%
52%
Away Win
55%
54%
Under 2.5
56%
46%
Over 2.5
44%
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
53%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
24 de Setiembre v 12 de Junio — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
24 de Setiembre
The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY
12 de Junio
The Market 58%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
46%
Ball Possession
54%
11
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
6
5
Corners
5
316 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
366 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
24 de Setiembre vs 12 de Junio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
24 de Setiembre edged past 12 de Junio 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was 12 de Junio at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
What was the final score of 24 de Setiembre vs 12 de Junio?
24 de Setiembre 1-0 12 de Junio in the Paraguay - Cup on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for 24 de Setiembre vs 12 de Junio?
Before kick-off our model rated an 12 de Junio win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split 24 de Setiembre 25%, draw 23%, 12 de Junio 52%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (12 de Junio) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (12 de Junio)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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11 Jul 2024