Olimpia Itá 0-1 Martin Ledesma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Cup, 11 Jul 2024

📅11/07/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
7.18
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
53%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
58%
1.75
Over
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.4
No Pick
61%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
37%
4-5
22%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
25%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
27%
Home Win
12%
+15.9pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.2pp
53%
Away Win
68%
-15.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
38%
+1.9pp
61%
BTTS No
62%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpia Itá The Market 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Martin Ledesma The Market 72%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+66% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
254 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpia Itá
0-1
AWAY Martin Ledesma
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Olimpia Itá vs Martin Ledesma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Martin Ledesma edged past Olimpia Itá 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Martin Ledesma as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Olimpia Itá had 52% of the ball to Martin Ledesma's 48%, shots finished 16-9.

What was the final score of Olimpia Itá vs Martin Ledesma?

Olimpia Itá 0-1 Martin Ledesma in the Paraguay - Cup on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpia Itá vs Martin Ledesma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Martin Ledesma win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Olimpia Itá 27%, draw 20%, Martin Ledesma 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Martin Ledesma), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Martin Ledesma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PARK More Paraguay - Cup
11 Jul 2024
21:00 24 de Setiembre vs 12 de Junio Analysis →