Monaco 1-0 Cercle Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 11 Jul 2025

📅11/07/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
29%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.74
Over 2.5
56%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.12
2-3 Goals
38%
2.09
4-5 Goals
29%
2.45
6+ Goals
10%
5.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
72%
-22.9pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.1pp
29%
Away Win
11%
+17.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
33%
+11.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
67%
-11.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monaco EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 14%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-12% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +107% / +9%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
470 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
Crosses 14.0
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monaco
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Cercle Brugge
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
13.07.2024 Monaco Monaco 1-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge HAZ
15.07.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 3-0 HT 1-0 Monaco Monaco HAZ
06.07.2019 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-4 HT 1-2 Monaco Monaco HAZ
14.07.2018 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-3 HT 1-2 Monaco Monaco HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monaco
1-0
AWAY Cercle Brugge
69% Ball Possession 31%
10 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Monaco vs Cercle Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monaco edged past Cercle Brugge 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Monaco as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Monaco had 69% of the ball to Cercle Brugge's 31%, shots finished 10-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Monaco had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Monaco and 1.75 for Cercle Brugge.

What was the final score of Monaco vs Cercle Brugge?

Monaco 1-0 Cercle Brugge in the Friendlies on 11/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monaco vs Cercle Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Monaco 49%, draw 22%, Cercle Brugge 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monaco) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monaco) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
11 Jul 2025
00:00 Sion vs Grasshoppers Analysis →
00:00 FC Fastav Zlin vs WSG Tirol Analysis →
00:00 York City vs Salford City Analysis →
12:00 Skalica vs MAS Taborsko Analysis →
12:00 Sturm Graz II vs SC Weiz Analysis →
12:00 Westerlo vs Patro Eisden Analysis →