Monaco 1-1 Cercle Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.51
Over 2.5
49%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
5.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.99
4-5 Goals
23%
2.68
6+ Goals
11%
6.59
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.38 — our 26% vs market 14.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
36%
+15.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
64%
-15.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.1pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monaco EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 31%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
0.33/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-81% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monaco
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Cercle Brugge
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
15.07.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 3-0 HT 1-0 Monaco Monaco HAZ
06.07.2019 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-4 HT 1-2 Monaco Monaco HAZ
14.07.2018 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-3 HT 1-2 Monaco Monaco HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monaco
1-1
AWAY Cercle Brugge
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Monaco vs Cercle Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monaco and Cercle Brugge shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Monaco at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Monaco had 50% of the ball to Cercle Brugge's 50%, shots finished 7-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Monaco had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Monaco and 2.00 for Cercle Brugge.

What was the final score of Monaco vs Cercle Brugge?

Monaco 1-1 Cercle Brugge in the Friendlies on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monaco vs Cercle Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Monaco 42%, draw 26%, Cercle Brugge 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monaco) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monaco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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