Paraguay (K) 1-4 Şili (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 13 Jul 2024

Paraguay (K)
1-4 HT 0-3
Şili (K)
📅13/07/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024

Paraguay (K) vs Şili (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
33%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.4pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.8pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-7.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paraguay (K) v Şili (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paraguay (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Şili (K) EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -84% / -56%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.5
– Crosses 11.6
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Paraguay (K) vs Şili (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paraguay (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Şili (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
50 Passes 310
60% Pass Accuracy 74%
6 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.10.2023 Şili (K) Şili (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Paraguay (K) Paraguay (K) PANAMK
05.04.2018 Şili (K) Şili (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Paraguay (K) Paraguay (K) AKUK
POST-MATCH Paraguay (K) vs Şili (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Şili (K) cruised past Paraguay (K) 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Şili (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Şili (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Paraguay (K) and 1.00 for Şili (K).

What was the final score of Paraguay (K) vs Şili (K)?

Paraguay (K) 1-4 Şili (K) in the Friendlies on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paraguay (K) vs Şili (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paraguay (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Paraguay (K) 33%, draw 33%, Şili (K) 33%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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