PSV Eindhoven 1-1 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.41
No
46%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
67%
-12.5pp
46%
BTTS No
33%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 37%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.51/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/1.45
-5% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -82% / -30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
430 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 81%
14.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
11.0 Crosses 9.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV Eindhoven
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Club Brugge
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
11.01.2019 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 2-1 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven
1-1
AWAY Club Brugge
3.06 xG 0.46
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
576 Passes 379
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
42 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven and Club Brugge shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was PSV Eindhoven at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PSV Eindhoven had 58% of the ball to Club Brugge's 42%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 3.06 to 0.46.

What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge?

PSV Eindhoven 1-1 Club Brugge in the Friendlies on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven 42%, draw 24%, Club Brugge 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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