ADT vs Comerciantes Unidos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ADT v Comerciantes Unidos — Team-Based Signals
ADT vs Comerciantes Unidos Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
ADT 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos — Actual Match Statistics
ADT nicked a narrow win over Comerciantes Unidos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had ADT as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, ADT had 50% of the ball to Comerciantes Unidos's 50%, shots finished 26-5, expected goals 3.12 to 0.13 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold ADT's control.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, ADT had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for ADT and 0.00 for Comerciantes Unidos.
What was the final score of ADT vs Comerciantes Unidos?
ADT 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos in the Peru - Premier League on 11/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ADT vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Before kick-off our model rated a ADT win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split ADT 57%, draw 24%, Comerciantes Unidos 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADT), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.