ADT 2-0 Comerciantes Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.29
Draw
26%
4.95
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.51
Over 2.5
43%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
73%
-14.8pp
26%
Draw
17%
+8.8pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+6.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
36%
+20.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
64%
-20.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADT EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.44/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.95
-19% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
375 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.6
24.5 Crosses 12.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADT
2-0
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
2.02 xG 0.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
332 Passes 278
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
36 Box Touches 10
29 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ADT vs Comerciantes Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADT beat Comerciantes Unidos 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ADT as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, ADT had 54% of the ball to Comerciantes Unidos's 46%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 2.02 to 0.40.

What was the final score of ADT vs Comerciantes Unidos?

ADT 2-0 Comerciantes Unidos in the Peru - Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADT vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADT win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split ADT 58%, draw 26%, Comerciantes Unidos 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADT), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ADT) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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