Cultural San 2-0 Alianza Atletico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.9
Over 2.5
41%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.9
No
60%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
60%
-3.9pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+4.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
49%
+10.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
51%
-10.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.1pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural San EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 20%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.45/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.70
+7% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 74%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
23.0 Crosses 13.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural San
2-0
AWAY Alianza Atletico
0.65 xG 0.33
65% Ball Possession 35%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
264 Passes 114
73% Pass Accuracy 58%
14 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cultural San vs Alianza Atletico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural San saw off Alianza Atletico 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cultural San as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cultural San had 65% of the ball to Alianza Atletico's 35%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.65 to 0.33.

What was the final score of Cultural San vs Alianza Atletico?

Cultural San 2-0 Alianza Atletico in the Peru - Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural San vs Alianza Atletico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cultural San win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Cultural San 56%, draw 23%, Alianza Atletico 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cultural San), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cultural San) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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