Melgar 4-1 Sport Huancayo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.32
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.33
Over 2.5
50%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.88
No
61%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
71%
-10.0pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.4pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+7.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
39%
+11.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
61%
-11.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.8pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melgar EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Huancayo EU Bookmakers 14%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
2.05/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.60
+0% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +23%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 73%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.2
22.6 Crosses 11.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melgar
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sport Huancayo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.71 xG 1.24
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
293 Passes 309
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2023 Melgar Melgar 1-3 HT 0-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
09.04.2023 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 1-1 HT 1-0 Melgar Melgar PER
24.07.2022 Melgar Melgar 1-0 HT 1-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
20.02.2022 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 3-0 HT 1-0 Melgar Melgar PER
18.07.2021 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 0-3 HT 0-2 Melgar Melgar PER
19.11.2020 Melgar Melgar 4-0 HT 1-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melgar
4-1
AWAY Sport Huancayo
1.78 xG 0.28
52% Ball Possession 48%
27 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
408 Passes 360
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
42 Box Touches 7
15 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Melgar vs Sport Huancayo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melgar swept aside Sport Huancayo 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Melgar as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Melgar had 52% of the ball to Sport Huancayo's 48%, shots finished 27-12, expected goals 1.78 to 0.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Melgar and 1.17 for Sport Huancayo.

What was the final score of Melgar vs Sport Huancayo?

Melgar 4-1 Sport Huancayo in the Peru - Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melgar vs Sport Huancayo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Melgar 61%, draw 20%, Sport Huancayo 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melgar) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melgar) ✗ BTTS No
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