Rochester 5-0 St. Croix — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 11 Jul 2025

📅11/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.46
No
36%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
59%
-0.6pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.1pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.7pp
64%
BTTS Yes
64%
-0.4pp
36%
BTTS No
36%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochester EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Croix EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -35%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
406 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rochester
2W-0D-0L
AWAY St. Croix
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
13.06.2025 St. Croix St. Croix 2-3 HT 0-0 Rochester Rochester USL2
27.06.2024 St. Croix St. Croix 1-3 HT 0-2 Rochester Rochester USL2
POST-MATCH Rochester vs St. Croix
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochester ran out comfortable winners over St. Croix 5-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rochester as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (64%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rochester had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Rochester and 1.50 for St. Croix.

What was the final score of Rochester vs St. Croix?

Rochester 5-0 St. Croix in the USA - USL League 2 on 11/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochester vs St. Croix?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rochester win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Rochester 58%, draw 20%, St. Croix 22%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rochester), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rochester) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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