St. Croix 1-3 Rochester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 27 Jun 2024

📅27/06/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.16
Draw
19%
7.13
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.17
Over 2.5
61%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
37%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
82%
-15.6pp
19%
Draw
11%
+7.4pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
28%
+11.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
72%
-11.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.7pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Croix EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochester EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -53%
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
495 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH St. Croix vs Rochester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochester saw off St. Croix 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had St. Croix at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

What was the final score of St. Croix vs Rochester?

St. Croix 1-3 Rochester in the USA - USL League 2 on 27/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Croix vs Rochester?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Croix win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split St. Croix 66%, draw 19%, Rochester 15%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (St. Croix), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Croix) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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