AC Connecticut 4-2 Seacoast United Phantoms — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 27 Jun 2024

📅27/06/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.95
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
59%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
24%
4.0
Over 2.5
76%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.61
No
33%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
9%
+11.8pp
20%
Draw
12%
+7.2pp
59%
Away Win
78%
-19.1pp
24%
Under 2.5
22%
+2.2pp
76%
Over 2.5
78%
-2.2pp
67%
BTTS Yes
58%
+9.4pp
33%
BTTS No
42%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AC Connecticut EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Seacoast United Phantoms EU Bookmakers 84%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.28/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/0.00
+18% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AC Connecticut
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Seacoast United Phantoms
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 14
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
19.05.2024 Seacoast United Phantoms Seacoast United Phantoms 6-1 HT 2-0 AC Connecticut AC Connecticut USL2
12.07.2023 AC Connecticut AC Connecticut 1-2 HT 0-1 Seacoast United Phantoms Seacoast United Phantoms USL2
18.07.2022 Seacoast United Phantoms Seacoast United Phantoms 2-0 HT 2-0 AC Connecticut AC Connecticut USL2
POST-MATCH AC Connecticut vs Seacoast United Phantoms
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Connecticut got the better of Seacoast United Phantoms 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Seacoast United Phantoms at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (76%), both teams to score (67%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Seacoast United Phantoms led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for AC Connecticut and 3.33 for Seacoast United Phantoms.

What was the final score of AC Connecticut vs Seacoast United Phantoms?

AC Connecticut 4-2 Seacoast United Phantoms in the USA - USL League 2 on 27/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AC Connecticut vs Seacoast United Phantoms?

Before kick-off our model rated an Seacoast United Phantoms win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split AC Connecticut 21%, draw 20%, Seacoast United Phantoms 59%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Seacoast United Phantoms) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Seacoast United Phantoms) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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