Chengdu Qianbao 1-1 Chongqing Tongliang Long — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 11 Jul 2026

Chengdu Qianbao
1-1 HT 1-0
Chongqing Tongliang Long
📅11/07/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2026

Chengdu Qianbao vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.27
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
9%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.95
No
44%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.92
4-5 Goals
29%
2.56
6+ Goals
13%
6.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1.4
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
6%
21.8
X/1
17%
3.81
X/2
3%
21.4
X/X
6%
8.53
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.8
2/2
4%
18.4
2/X
5%
25.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
74%
-0.8pp
17%
Draw
16%
+1.1pp
9%
Away Win
9%
-0.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.9pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chengdu Qianbao v Chongqing Tongliang Long — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 12%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
2.48/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.45
+2% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +42%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
436 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
34.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.3
25.0 Crosses 6.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7

Chengdu Qianbao vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.72 xG 1.63
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 7
264 Passes 417
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.03.2026 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 3-3 HT 0-2 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
23.06.2023 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 0-0 HT 0-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNK

Chengdu Qianbao 1-1 Chongqing Tongliang Long — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
1-1
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long
2.30 xG 0.64
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
15 Corners 1
496 Passes 238
35 Box Touches 7
56 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chengdu Qianbao vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao and Chongqing Tongliang Long shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Chengdu Qianbao carried 74% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 2.30 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chengdu Qianbao and 1.50 for Chongqing Tongliang Long.

What was the final score of Chengdu Qianbao vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Chengdu Qianbao 1-1 Chongqing Tongliang Long in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chengdu Qianbao vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Chengdu Qianbao 74%, draw 17%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 9%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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