Chongqing Tongliang Long 3-3 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
45%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.78
2-3 Goals
36%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
3.73
6+ Goals
8%
16.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 38% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.94
1/2
11%
25.5
1/X
6%
14.75
X/1
9%
7.48
X/2
17%
4.41
X/X
17%
4.48
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
17%
2.65
2/X
5%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
45%
Away Win
48%
-3.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.8pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
Crosses 17.9
Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
23.06.2023 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 0-0 HT 0-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
3-3
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.63 xG 2.72
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 8
417 Passes 264
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chongqing Tongliang Long and Chengdu Qianbao shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Chengdu Qianbao at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chongqing Tongliang Long had 59% of the ball to Chengdu Qianbao's 41%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 1.63 to 2.72.

What was the final score of Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Chongqing Tongliang Long 3-3 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Chongqing Tongliang Long 28%, draw 27%, Chengdu Qianbao 45%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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