Beijing Guoan 1-1 Shanghai Shenhua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.94
2-3 Goals
34%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.57
6+ Goals
13%
6.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.91
1/2
5%
26.0
1/X
5%
11.9
X/1
13%
5.46
X/2
12%
6.94
X/X
9%
5.71
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
21.4
2/2
15%
4.22
2/X
7%
12.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.4 — our 6% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.2pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.3pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.2pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 34%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.08/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.23
-5% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +87%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 76%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
23.2 Crosses 15.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beijing Guoan
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.88 xG 1.44
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
413 Passes 240
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.07.2025 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-3 HT 1-2 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNSL
01.03.2025 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 2-2 HT 2-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
22.08.2024 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 2-1 HT 1-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNK
04.08.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-1 HT 1-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNSL
13.04.2024 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-1 HT 1-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
19.08.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-1 HT 2-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beijing Guoan
1-1
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
194 Passes 236
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
POST-MATCH Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Shenhua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan and Shanghai Shenhua shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Beijing Guoan at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Beijing Guoan had 48% of the ball to Shanghai Shenhua's 52%, shots finished 12-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Beijing Guoan and 1.67 for Shanghai Shenhua.

What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Beijing Guoan 1-1 Shanghai Shenhua in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Beijing Guoan 46%, draw 22%, Shanghai Shenhua 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beijing Guoan), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
21 Mar 2026
10:30 Liaoning Shenyang vs Tianjin Teda Analysis →
14:00 Henan Jianye vs Wuhan Three Towns Analysis →
14:35 Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenzhen FC Analysis →
14:35 Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Chengdu Qianbao Analysis →
15:00 Yunnan Yukun vs Shandong Taishan Analysis →