Shanghai Shenhua 2-1 Beijing Guoan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup, 22 Aug 2024

📅22/08/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
36%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.05
6+ Goals
13%
9.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.09
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.8
X/1
14%
4.01
X/2
9%
9.86
X/X
9%
5.72
2/1
7%
21.45
2/2 EV+ ✗
20%
7.24
2/X
8%
15.4
Value flag · 2/2 at 7.24 — our 20% vs market 9.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
56%
-14.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
21%
+15.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 24%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+80% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Beijing Guoan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.11 xG 1.21
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
229 Passes 420
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-1 HT 1-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNSL
13.04.2024 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-1 HT 1-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
19.08.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-1 HT 2-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
19.05.2023 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-1 HT 1-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
25.11.2022 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-2 HT 1-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
26.08.2022 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 0-2 HT 0-2 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
POST-MATCH Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Shenhua nicked a narrow win over Beijing Guoan 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shanghai Shenhua as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Shanghai Shenhua and 1.33 for Beijing Guoan.

What was the final score of Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan?

Shanghai Shenhua 2-1 Beijing Guoan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Shenhua win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Shenhua 42%, draw 23%, Beijing Guoan 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİNK More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup
22 Aug 2024
14:35 Shanghai Port vs Tianjin Teda Analysis →