Shanghai Shenhua 1-1 Beijing Guoan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.29
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.58
6+ Goals
11%
14.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.58 — our 25% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1.92
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
4%
16.65
X/1
25%
3.64
X/2
4%
12.0
X/X
11%
5.25
2/1
8%
24.45
2/2
15%
9.99
2/X
8%
17.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-11.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+10.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 18%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.67/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.05
+5% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +77%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
363 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
24.0 Crosses 9.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Beijing Guoan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.37 xG 1.15
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
212 Passes 404
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-1 HT 2-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
19.05.2023 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-1 HT 1-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
25.11.2022 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-2 HT 1-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
26.08.2022 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 0-2 HT 0-2 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
15.08.2021 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 4-2 HT 3-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
23.04.2021 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 2-1 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
1-1
AWAY Beijing Guoan
0.65 xG 1.28
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
312 Passes 325
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
36 Box Touches 17
31 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Shenhua and Beijing Guoan shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Shanghai Shenhua at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Shanghai Shenhua had 50% of the ball to Beijing Guoan's 50%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.65 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Shanghai Shenhua and 1.67 for Beijing Guoan.

What was the final score of Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan?

Shanghai Shenhua 1-1 Beijing Guoan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Shenhua win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Shenhua 52%, draw 23%, Beijing Guoan 25%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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ÇİN More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
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