Henan Jianye 1-1 Nantong Zhiyun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 13 Apr 2024

Henan Jianye
1-1 HT 0-0
Nantong Zhiyun
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2024

Henan Jianye vs Nantong Zhiyun Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.67
Over 2.5
56%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.67
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.39
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.79
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
20%
4.29
X/2 EV+ ✗
15%
7.28
X/X
13%
4.11
2/1
4%
28.5
2/2
12%
5.87
2/X
4%
14.6
Value flag · X/2 at 7.28 — our 15% vs market 9.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
+0.4pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.9pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
56%
-11.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
44%
+11.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.7pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Henan Jianye v Nantong Zhiyun — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantong Zhiyun EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.18/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.34
-11% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
16.3 Crosses 16.8
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.8

Henan Jianye vs Nantong Zhiyun Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Henan Jianye
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Nantong Zhiyun
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.58 xG 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
252 Passes 264
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.07.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-1 HT 1-0 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİNSL
26.04.2023 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 1-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN

Henan Jianye 1-1 Nantong Zhiyun — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Henan Jianye
1-1
AWAY Nantong Zhiyun
0.86 xG 0.90
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 10
213 Passes 407
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Henan Jianye vs Nantong Zhiyun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Henan Jianye and Nantong Zhiyun shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Henan Jianye at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Henan Jianye had 36% of the ball to Nantong Zhiyun's 64%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 0.86 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nantong Zhiyun led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Henan Jianye and 1.00 for Nantong Zhiyun.

What was the final score of Henan Jianye vs Nantong Zhiyun?

Henan Jianye 1-1 Nantong Zhiyun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Henan Jianye vs Nantong Zhiyun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Henan Jianye win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Henan Jianye 47%, draw 22%, Nantong Zhiyun 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Henan Jianye), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Henan Jianye) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİN More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
13 Apr 2024
14:35 Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan Analysis →