Shanghai Shenhua 2-2 Beijing Guoan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
2.97
6+ Goals
14%
9.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.31
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.2
X/1
16%
4.5
X/2
7%
8.85
X/X
10%
5.33
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.7
2/2
11%
6.55
2/X
10%
14.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.7 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 26%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.93/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.56
+53% / +120% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -39%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
20.1 Crosses 15.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Beijing Guoan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.14 xG 1.22
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
236 Passes 420
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
22.08.2024 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 2-1 HT 1-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNK
04.08.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-1 HT 1-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNSL
13.04.2024 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-1 HT 1-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
19.08.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-1 HT 2-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
19.05.2023 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-1 HT 1-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
25.11.2022 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-2 HT 1-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
2-2
AWAY Beijing Guoan
1.12 xG 0.60
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
204 Passes 423
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Shenhua and Beijing Guoan shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Shanghai Shenhua at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Shanghai Shenhua had 36% of the ball to Beijing Guoan's 64%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.12 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Shanghai Shenhua and 1.50 for Beijing Guoan.

What was the final score of Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan?

Shanghai Shenhua 2-2 Beijing Guoan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Shenhua win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Shenhua 51%, draw 25%, Beijing Guoan 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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