Yunnan Yukun 1-1 Zhejiang G. FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.54
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.08
6+ Goals
9%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.89
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
12.7
X/1
14%
6.01
X/2
10%
5.6
X/X
10%
4.93
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
20%
3.49
2/X
6%
12.6
Value flag · 1/X at 12.7 — our 10% vs market 5.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.9pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -59%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.5
Crosses 22.9
Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yunnan Yukun
1-1
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC
0.70 xG 1.35
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
232 Passes 335
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yunnan Yukun vs Zhejiang G. FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunnan Yukun and Zhejiang G. FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Yunnan Yukun had 42% of the ball to Zhejiang G. FC's 58%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.70 to 1.35.

What was the final score of Yunnan Yukun vs Zhejiang G. FC?

Yunnan Yukun 1-1 Zhejiang G. FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yunnan Yukun vs Zhejiang G. FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yunnan Yukun win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Yunnan Yukun 38%, draw 26%, Zhejiang G. FC 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Yunnan Yukun), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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