Meizhou Hakka 2-1 Henan Jianye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.0
Over 2.5
42%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 31% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.33
1/2
5%
24.7
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
14%
6.57
X/2
18%
5.4
X/X
12%
4.87
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
11%
3.18
2/X
8%
12.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-6.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
46%
+11.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
54%
-11.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.4pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meizhou Hakka EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 45%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.12/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.28/0.93
-9% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +95%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
19.7 Crosses 20.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meizhou Hakka
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Henan Jianye
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.04 xG 1.03
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
224 Passes 267
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.06.2024 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 0-3 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
09.03.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 2-2 HT 1-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
23.09.2023 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 0-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
03.06.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 2-1 HT 0-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
08.11.2022 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 3-2 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
13.08.2022 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 0-1 HT 0-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meizhou Hakka
2-1
AWAY Henan Jianye
0.66 xG 2.11
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
281 Passes 309
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 17
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Meizhou Hakka vs Henan Jianye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meizhou Hakka squeezed past Henan Jianye 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Meizhou Hakka made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Meizhou Hakka had 48% of the ball to Henan Jianye's 52%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 0.66 to 2.11 — the balance of chances actually favoured Henan Jianye.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Meizhou Hakka and 1.50 for Henan Jianye.

What was the final score of Meizhou Hakka vs Henan Jianye?

Meizhou Hakka 2-1 Henan Jianye in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meizhou Hakka vs Henan Jianye?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meizhou Hakka win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Meizhou Hakka 39%, draw 27%, Henan Jianye 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meizhou Hakka) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Meizhou Hakka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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