Meizhou Hakka 0-3 Henan Jianye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.61
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.35
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
11%
6.38
X/2
13%
5.06
X/X
13%
4.74
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
31.0
2/2
19%
3.14
2/X
8%
12.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.0 — our 11% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meizhou Hakka EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 45%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -14%
0.99/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.22
-27% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
19.4 Crosses 16.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meizhou Hakka
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Henan Jianye
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.23 xG 0.90
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
228 Passes 259
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 2-2 HT 1-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
23.09.2023 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 0-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
03.06.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 2-1 HT 0-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
08.11.2022 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 3-2 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
13.08.2022 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 0-1 HT 0-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meizhou Hakka
0-3
AWAY Henan Jianye
0.10 xG 1.65
42% Ball Possession 58%
3 Total Shots 23
0 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
201 Passes 309
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
4 Box Touches 35
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Meizhou Hakka vs Henan Jianye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Henan Jianye ran out comfortable winners over Meizhou Hakka 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Henan Jianye made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Meizhou Hakka had 42% of the ball to Henan Jianye's 58%, shots finished 3-23, expected goals 0.10 to 1.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Meizhou Hakka had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Meizhou Hakka and 1.20 for Henan Jianye.

What was the final score of Meizhou Hakka vs Henan Jianye?

Meizhou Hakka 0-3 Henan Jianye in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meizhou Hakka vs Henan Jianye?

Before kick-off our model rated an Henan Jianye win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Meizhou Hakka 35%, draw 27%, Henan Jianye 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Henan Jianye) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Henan Jianye) ✗ BTTS Yes
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