Changchun YaTai 5-0 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.7
No
41%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.73
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.26
6+ Goals
14%
11.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.26 — our 26% vs market 25.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.35
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1
14%
4.24
X/2
8%
8.62
X/X
9%
5.12
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
12%
6.33
2/X
9%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-8.3pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
55%
+4.1pp
41%
BTTS No
45%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 27%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.18/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/0.94
-38% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +43%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 70%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
20.9 Crosses 17.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changchun YaTai
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
0.90 xG 1.16
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
370 Passes 327
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.05.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-2 HT 0-2 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
08.03.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
26.08.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
25.07.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 HT 1-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNK
23.05.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-0 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Changchun YaTai
5-0
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
2.96 xG 0.57
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 4
389 Passes 308
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Changchun YaTai vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changchun YaTai ran out comfortable winners over Qingdao Jonoon 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Changchun YaTai as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Changchun YaTai had 56% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 44%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.96 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Changchun YaTai and 0.80 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Changchun YaTai vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Changchun YaTai 5-0 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changchun YaTai vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Changchun YaTai win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Changchun YaTai 44%, draw 27%, Qingdao Jonoon 29%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Changchun YaTai), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Changchun YaTai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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