Qingdao Jonoon 2-2 Changchun YaTai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 22 May 2024

📅22/05/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.67
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.29
6+ Goals
10%
11.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.72
1/2
6%
24.85
1/X
4%
12.85
X/1
11%
6.85
X/2
16%
4.9
X/X
16%
4.75
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
33.0
2/2
19%
2.94
2/X
6%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 33.0 — our 6% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-15% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 81%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.9 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Changchun YaTai
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.84 xG 0.88
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
300 Passes 405
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.03.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
26.08.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
25.07.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 HT 1-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNK
23.05.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-0 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
2-2
AWAY Changchun YaTai
2.11 xG 0.96
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
407 Passes 265
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Changchun YaTai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon and Changchun YaTai couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 60% of the ball to Changchun YaTai's 40%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.11 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 0.50 for Changchun YaTai.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Changchun YaTai?

Qingdao Jonoon 2-2 Changchun YaTai in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Changchun YaTai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Changchun YaTai win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 34%, draw 26%, Changchun YaTai 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Changchun YaTai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Changchun YaTai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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