Shanghai Port 2-0 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 22 May 2024

📅22/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.42
Draw
16%
4.62
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.46
Over 2.5
68%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
8.66
2-3 Goals
37%
2.39
4-5 Goals
32%
2.36
6+ Goals
14%
3.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.65
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.5
X/1
21%
4.13
X/2
5%
14.5
X/X
4%
8.62
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
17.45
2/2
12%
8.88
2/X
6%
16.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.45 — our 12% vs market 3.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-4.4pp
16%
Draw
18%
-2.0pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.3pp
32%
Under 2.5
25%
+7.1pp
68%
Over 2.5
75%
-7.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.1pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 19%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+9% / +119% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.6 Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Port
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.03 xG 1.25
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
407 Passes 270
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
23.09.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-1 HT 1-0 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
03.06.2023 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 0-1 HT 0-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
05.01.2023 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 4-0 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNK
10.12.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 0-0 HT 0-0 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
29.09.2022 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 3-0 HT 2-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
POST-MATCH Shanghai Port vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Port saw off Chengdu Qianbao 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shanghai Port as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Shanghai Port and 0.60 for Chengdu Qianbao.

What was the final score of Shanghai Port vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Shanghai Port 2-0 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Port vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Port win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Port 62%, draw 16%, Chengdu Qianbao 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Port) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Port) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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