Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 Shenzhen FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.54
Over 2.5
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.27
2-3 Goals
33%
1.73
4-5 Goals
26%
4.74
6+ Goals
7%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
4.68
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
10%
13.25
X/1
18%
6.18
X/2
14%
5.3
X/X
16%
3.55
2/1
11%
34.5
2/2
11%
3.69
2/X
6%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.7pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.7pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-4.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 40%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.40/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.87
+43% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
18.4 Crosses 22.6
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Shenzhen FC
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.31 xG 1.74
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
239 Passes 353
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-2 HT 2-2 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
17.08.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 HT 1-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
12.05.2024 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
26.04.2024 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-3 HT 0-3 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
12.07.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 5-0 HT 1-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
16.04.2023 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 2-1 HT 2-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
0-1
AWAY Shenzhen FC
0.59 xG 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
438 Passes 298
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenzhen FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shenzhen FC nicked a narrow win over Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 32% — and on the day Shenzhen FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 58% of the ball to Shenzhen FC's 42%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.59 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Qingdao Jonoon had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 1.00 for Shenzhen FC.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenzhen FC?

Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 Shenzhen FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenzhen FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qingdao Jonoon win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 35%, draw 32%, Shenzhen FC 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon) ✓ Under 2.5
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