Qingdao Jonoon 3-2 Shenzhen FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.44
6+ Goals
12%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 27% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.46
1/2
10%
29.0
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
17%
5.31
X/2
13%
5.77
X/X
12%
4.74
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
10%
3.9
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 38%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.11/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/0.98
+7% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +106%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 82%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
19.8 Crosses 23.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Shenzhen FC
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.48 xG 1.42
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
239 Passes 394
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 HT 1-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
12.05.2024 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
26.04.2024 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-3 HT 0-3 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
12.07.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 5-0 HT 1-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
16.04.2023 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 2-1 HT 2-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
3-2
AWAY Shenzhen FC
0.46 xG 3.37
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 1
238 Passes 150
68% Pass Accuracy 61%
10 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenzhen FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon nicked a narrow win over Shenzhen FC 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Qingdao Jonoon made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 58% of the ball to Shenzhen FC's 42%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.46 to 3.37 — the balance of chances actually favoured Shenzhen FC.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Qingdao Jonoon had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 0.80 for Shenzhen FC.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenzhen FC?

Qingdao Jonoon 3-2 Shenzhen FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenzhen FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qingdao Jonoon win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 39%, draw 27%, Shenzhen FC 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
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