Nantong Zhiyun 2-1 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.33
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.56
6+ Goals
11%
14.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.56 — our 25% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.98
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
15%
4.76
X/2
11%
6.66
X/X
13%
4.61
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
11%
4.78
2/X
10%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.4pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantong Zhiyun EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 32%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.74/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.84
-50% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +81% / +100%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 72%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
30.7 Crosses 11.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantong Zhiyun
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.17 xG 0.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
262 Passes 271
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2024 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 0-3 HT 0-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
10.05.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-2 HT 0-0 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN
26.04.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-2 HT 0-2 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİNSL
24.09.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-1 HT 0-0 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN
31.08.2023 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 0-3 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNK
04.06.2023 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 1-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantong Zhiyun
2-1
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
2.37 xG 2.44
68% Ball Possession 32%
21 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
476 Passes 186
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nantong Zhiyun vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nantong Zhiyun edged past Qingdao Jonoon 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Nantong Zhiyun made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Nantong Zhiyun had 68% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 32%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 2.37 to 2.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Qingdao Jonoon led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nantong Zhiyun and 1.83 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Nantong Zhiyun vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Nantong Zhiyun 2-1 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantong Zhiyun vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nantong Zhiyun win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nantong Zhiyun 40%, draw 30%, Qingdao Jonoon 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nantong Zhiyun), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nantong Zhiyun) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
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