Zhejiang G. FC 2-2 Cangzhou Mighty Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.45
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.89
Over 2.5
62%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.65
2-3 Goals
38%
2.14
4-5 Goals
28%
2.5
6+ Goals
13%
5.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.74
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.45
X/1
13%
4.0
X/2
9%
13.15
X/X
11%
7.69
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
18.75
2/2
11%
8.55
2/X
4%
16.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.75 — our 10% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-9.3pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.8pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
31%
+6.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
69%
-6.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.3pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhejiang G. FC EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
2.25/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.80
-2% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +98%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
365 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 76%
31.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
17.7 Crosses 17.4
3.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhejiang G. FC
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.84 xG 1.19
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
441 Passes 224
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0-1 HT 0-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİNSL
29.10.2023 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 6-1 HT 3-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
02.07.2023 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 2-1 HT 2-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİNSL
13.11.2022 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 3-3 HT 2-1 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
24.08.2022 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1-1 HT 0-1 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zhejiang G. FC
2-2
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions
3.67 xG 1.34
68% Ball Possession 32%
40 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
516 Passes 215
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
58 Box Touches 12
35 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Zhejiang G. FC vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zhejiang G. FC and Cangzhou Mighty Lions shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

This one beat our numbers. Zhejiang G. FC carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zhejiang G. FC had 68% of the ball to Cangzhou Mighty Lions's 32%, shots finished 40-7, expected goals 3.67 to 1.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Zhejiang G. FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Zhejiang G. FC and 1.40 for Cangzhou Mighty Lions.

What was the final score of Zhejiang G. FC vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions?

Zhejiang G. FC 2-2 Cangzhou Mighty Lions in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhejiang G. FC vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zhejiang G. FC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Zhejiang G. FC 55%, draw 21%, Cangzhou Mighty Lions 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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