Nantong Zhiyun 0-3 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.7
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
16%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 29% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.97
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
8%
4.86
X/2
10%
6.6
X/X
11%
4.93
2/1
9%
24.45
2/2
13%
4.55
2/X
6%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.2pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantong Zhiyun EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 34%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.96/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.75
+19% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
40.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
48.0 Crosses 11.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantong Zhiyun
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.23 xG 0.90
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
263 Passes 262
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-2 HT 0-0 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN
26.04.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-2 HT 0-2 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİNSL
24.09.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-1 HT 0-0 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN
31.08.2023 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 0-3 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNK
04.06.2023 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 1-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
24.09.2022 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 HT 1-1 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantong Zhiyun
0-3
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
0.92 xG 1.18
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
258 Passes 305
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nantong Zhiyun vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon swept aside Nantong Zhiyun 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nantong Zhiyun at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Nantong Zhiyun had 46% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 54%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.92 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nantong Zhiyun and 1.50 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Nantong Zhiyun vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Nantong Zhiyun 0-3 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantong Zhiyun vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nantong Zhiyun win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Nantong Zhiyun 46%, draw 24%, Qingdao Jonoon 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Nantong Zhiyun), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nantong Zhiyun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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