Tianjin Teda 1-0 Wuhan Three Towns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.79
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 26% vs market 21.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.74
1/2
5%
33.5
1/X
5%
13.35
X/1
21%
4.62
X/2
13%
7.05
X/X
12%
5.1
2/1
8%
23.6
2/2
12%
4.94
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.1pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tianjin Teda EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.16/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.19
+18% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
25.4 Crosses 21.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tianjin Teda
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.22 xG 1.15
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 Passes 372
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2024 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 2-1 HT 1-1 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
23.09.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 0-1 HT 0-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
04.06.2023 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 1-1 HT 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
18.12.2022 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 3-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİNK
08.10.2022 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 0-1 HT 0-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tianjin Teda
1-0
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
1.83 xG 0.90
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
332 Passes 321
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tianjin Teda vs Wuhan Three Towns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tianjin Teda edged past Wuhan Three Towns 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tianjin Teda as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Tianjin Teda had 50% of the ball to Wuhan Three Towns's 50%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.83 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Wuhan Three Towns led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Tianjin Teda and 1.40 for Wuhan Three Towns.

What was the final score of Tianjin Teda vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Tianjin Teda 1-0 Wuhan Three Towns in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tianjin Teda vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tianjin Teda win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Tianjin Teda 46%, draw 24%, Wuhan Three Towns 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tianjin Teda), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tianjin Teda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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