Henan Jianye 0-2 Cangzhou Mighty Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 16 Aug 2024

Henan Jianye
0-2 HT 0-1
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
📅16/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2024

Henan Jianye vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
30%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
3.08
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.8
6+ Goals
10%
16.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.99
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X EV+ ✗
13%
13.5
X/1
15%
5.64
X/2
9%
5.2
X/X
16%
4.47
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
16%
3.56
2/X
4%
13.4
Value flag · 1/X at 13.5 — our 13% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.4pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.1pp
31%
Away Win
38%
-7.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Henan Jianye v Cangzhou Mighty Lions — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions EU Bookmakers 42%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.96/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.22
-21% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
19.5 Crosses 11.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0

Henan Jianye vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Henan Jianye
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.04 xG 1.52
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
361 Passes 275
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.04.2024 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 2-3 HT 0-1 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
21.10.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 6-0 HT 3-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
28.06.2023 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0-1 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
15.12.2022 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1-1 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
24.10.2022 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 3-0 HT 2-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
27.07.2021 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 2-1 HT 0-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN

Henan Jianye 0-2 Cangzhou Mighty Lions — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Henan Jianye
0-2
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions
0.74 xG 0.36
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
459 Passes 296
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
33 Box Touches 7
30 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Henan Jianye vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cangzhou Mighty Lions beat Henan Jianye 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 33% / 31% — and on the day Cangzhou Mighty Lions made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Henan Jianye had 60% of the ball to Cangzhou Mighty Lions's 40%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 0.74 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Henan Jianye had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Henan Jianye and 0.67 for Cangzhou Mighty Lions.

What was the final score of Henan Jianye vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions?

Henan Jianye 0-2 Cangzhou Mighty Lions in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Henan Jianye vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Henan Jianye win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Henan Jianye 37%, draw 33%, Cangzhou Mighty Lions 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Henan Jianye), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Henan Jianye) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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