Henan Jianye 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
15%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.33
Over 2.5
59%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.51
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
2.67
6+ Goals
13%
7.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.82
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
4%
15.5
X/1
10%
4.1
X/2
5%
11.7
X/X
11%
6.69
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
19.55
2/2
7%
8.89
2/X
6%
17.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.55 — our 14% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
62%
+1.1pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.7pp
15%
Away Win
17%
-1.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.7pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.75/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/2.28
-2% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
366 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
19.0 Crosses 15.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Henan Jianye
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
2.04 xG 1.66
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
280 Passes 342
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.09.2025 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 2-5 HT 0-2 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
01.05.2025 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-2 HT 0-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
29.09.2024 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 1-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
17.05.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 2-3 HT 1-2 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
09.08.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 4-2 HT 1-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
09.05.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-1 HT 1-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Henan Jianye
1-1
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
2.42 xG 0.95
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 6
362 Passes 165
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
32 Box Touches 17
36 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Henan Jianye vs Wuhan Three Towns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Henan Jianye and Wuhan Three Towns couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Henan Jianye carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Henan Jianye had 65% of the ball to Wuhan Three Towns's 35%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.42 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wuhan Three Towns led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Henan Jianye and 2.17 for Wuhan Three Towns.

What was the final score of Henan Jianye vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Henan Jianye 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Henan Jianye vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Before kick-off our model rated a Henan Jianye win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Henan Jianye 64%, draw 21%, Wuhan Three Towns 15%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Henan Jianye), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Henan Jianye) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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