Wuhan Three Towns 2-5 Henan Jianye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.32
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
43%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.38
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.5
No
36%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.71
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.6
6+ Goals
18%
6.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.55
1/2
7%
19.95
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
12%
8.27
X/2
11%
4.75
X/X
10%
5.92
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
32.0
2/2
25%
2.37
2/X
6%
12.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 32.0 — our 11% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
26%
+9.1pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.3pp
43%
Away Win
50%
-6.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
38%
-0.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
62%
+0.1pp
64%
BTTS Yes
62%
+1.2pp
36%
BTTS No
38%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 55%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.46/2.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.56
-79% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 83%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.9
23.2 Crosses 32.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Henan Jianye
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.41 xG 1.25
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
340 Passes 277
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2025 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-2 HT 0-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
29.09.2024 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 1-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
17.05.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 2-3 HT 1-2 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
09.08.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 4-2 HT 1-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
09.05.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-1 HT 1-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
13.11.2022 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 1-3 HT 1-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
2-5
AWAY Henan Jianye
2.50 xG 6.39
49% Ball Possession 51%
22 Total Shots 23
10 Shots on Target 11
9 Corners 3
313 Passes 347
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
47 Box Touches 37
38 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Henan Jianye cruised past Wuhan Three Towns 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Henan Jianye as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

On the day, Wuhan Three Towns had 49% of the ball to Henan Jianye's 51%, shots finished 22-23, expected goals 2.50 to 6.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wuhan Three Towns had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Wuhan Three Towns and 1.50 for Henan Jianye.

What was the final score of Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye?

Wuhan Three Towns 2-5 Henan Jianye in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye?

Before kick-off our model rated an Henan Jianye win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Wuhan Three Towns 36%, draw 21%, Henan Jianye 43%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Henan Jianye), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Henan Jianye) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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