Henan Jianye 2-3 Wuhan Three Towns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.82
No
43%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.9
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.03
6+ Goals
12%
18.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.86
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
15%
4.48
X/2
10%
7.07
X/X
15%
4.25
2/1
9%
27.0
2/2
7%
5.44
2/X
8%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.0pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.1pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.5pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.22/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.56
-16% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.2 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Henan Jianye
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
0.91 xG 1.42
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
279 Passes 298
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 4-2 HT 1-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
09.05.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-1 HT 1-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
13.11.2022 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 1-3 HT 1-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
17.08.2022 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 0-3 HT 0-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Henan Jianye
2-3
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
1.94 xG 2.45
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 1
265 Passes 264
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 13
31 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Henan Jianye vs Wuhan Three Towns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wuhan Three Towns squeezed past Henan Jianye 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Henan Jianye at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Henan Jianye had 51% of the ball to Wuhan Three Towns's 49%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.94 to 2.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Wuhan Three Towns led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Henan Jianye and 2.25 for Wuhan Three Towns.

What was the final score of Henan Jianye vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Henan Jianye 2-3 Wuhan Three Towns in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Henan Jianye vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Before kick-off our model rated a Henan Jianye win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Henan Jianye 42%, draw 31%, Wuhan Three Towns 27%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Henan Jianye) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Henan Jianye) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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