Henan Jianye vs Wuhan Three Towns Prediction — Model Probabilities
Henan Jianye v Wuhan Three Towns — Team-Based Signals
Henan Jianye vs Wuhan Three Towns Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Henan Jianye 2-3 Wuhan Three Towns — Actual Match Statistics
Wuhan Three Towns shaded a tight game against Henan Jianye 3-2 on the road. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Henan Jianye at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.87, about 53%.
Under the surface, possession split 51% to 49% in Henan Jianye's favour, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.94 to 2.45.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Wuhan Three Towns led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Henan Jianye against 2.25 for Wuhan Three Towns.
Henan Jianye vs Wuhan Three Towns Result & Final Score
Henan Jianye 2 - 3 Wuhan Three Towns in the China - Super League on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Henan Jianye vs Wuhan Three Towns Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Henan Jianye win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Henan Jianye 45%, draw 30%, Wuhan Three Towns 25%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Henan Jianye), Under 2.5 went the other way.