Cangzhou Mighty Lions 2-4 Tianjin Teda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
41%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.3
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
21%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
5.45
1/2
5%
22.3
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1 EV+ ✗
21%
7.97
X/2
12%
4.55
X/X
6%
5.36
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.5
2/X
11%
13.1
Value flag · X/1 at 7.97 — our 21% vs market 8.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
26%
+8.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
41%
Away Win
49%
-7.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Tianjin Teda EU Bookmakers 53%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.96/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.30
-5% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
13.7 Crosses 17.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Tianjin Teda
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.18 xG 1.44
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
365 Passes 417
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.07.2023 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1-1 HT 1-1 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİNSL
16.04.2023 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 1-1 HT 0-1 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
12.07.2022 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 3-0 HT 1-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
21.06.2022 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0-2 HT 0-2 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
03.01.2022 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 1-0 HT 0-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
21.12.2021 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 2-1 HT 1-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions
2-4
AWAY Tianjin Teda
1.19 xG 2.18
41% Ball Possession 59%
22 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
335 Passes 524
88% Pass Accuracy 91%
21 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Tianjin Teda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tianjin Teda beat Cangzhou Mighty Lions 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tianjin Teda as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Cangzhou Mighty Lions had 41% of the ball to Tianjin Teda's 59%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 1.19 to 2.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tianjin Teda led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cangzhou Mighty Lions and 1.50 for Tianjin Teda.

What was the final score of Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Tianjin Teda?

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 2-4 Tianjin Teda in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Tianjin Teda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tianjin Teda win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cangzhou Mighty Lions 35%, draw 24%, Tianjin Teda 41%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tianjin Teda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tianjin Teda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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