Zhejiang G. FC 5-2 Nantong Zhiyun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.47
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.87
2-3 Goals
42%
2.05
4-5 Goals
24%
2.59
6+ Goals
15%
5.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.78
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.35
X/1
17%
3.95
X/2
10%
12.8
X/X
8%
7.24
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.4
2/2
11%
8.62
2/X
6%
16.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.4 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-10.3pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.7pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.9pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhejiang G. FC EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantong Zhiyun EU Bookmakers 20%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.39/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.32
-20% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +67%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
25.0 Crosses 20.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhejiang G. FC
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Nantong Zhiyun
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.65 xG 1.04
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
286 Passes 272
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
08.08.2023 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN
10.05.2023 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 1-2 HT 0-1 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
05.08.2021 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 1-1 HT 0-1 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN2
16.07.2021 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN2
19.10.2019 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zhejiang G. FC
5-2
AWAY Nantong Zhiyun
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
506 Passes 230
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
POST-MATCH Zhejiang G. FC vs Nantong Zhiyun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zhejiang G. FC ran out comfortable winners over Nantong Zhiyun 5-2. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zhejiang G. FC as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zhejiang G. FC had 66% of the ball to Nantong Zhiyun's 34%, shots finished 20-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Zhejiang G. FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Zhejiang G. FC and 1.00 for Nantong Zhiyun.

What was the final score of Zhejiang G. FC vs Nantong Zhiyun?

Zhejiang G. FC 5-2 Nantong Zhiyun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhejiang G. FC vs Nantong Zhiyun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zhejiang G. FC win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Zhejiang G. FC 53%, draw 21%, Nantong Zhiyun 25%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC) ✓ Over 2.5
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