Wuhan Three Towns 1-0 Henan Jianye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.4
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.5
6+ Goals
7%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 29% vs market 24.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.54
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
17%
4.39
X/2
9%
8.05
X/X
17%
4.67
2/1
8%
24.45
2/2
14%
5.99
2/X
6%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-9.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 28%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
2.22/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.84
+150% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
10.0 Crosses 20.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Henan Jianye
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.63 xG 1.11
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
291 Passes 276
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 2-3 HT 1-2 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
09.08.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 4-2 HT 1-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
09.05.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-1 HT 1-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
13.11.2022 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 1-3 HT 1-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
17.08.2022 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 0-3 HT 0-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
1-0
AWAY Henan Jianye
1.33 xG 0.38
70% Ball Possession 30%
21 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
572 Passes 210
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 6
11 Crosses 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wuhan Three Towns edged past Henan Jianye 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Wuhan Three Towns made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Wuhan Three Towns had 70% of the ball to Henan Jianye's 30%, shots finished 21-3, expected goals 1.33 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Wuhan Three Towns had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Wuhan Three Towns and 1.60 for Henan Jianye.

What was the final score of Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye?

Wuhan Three Towns 1-0 Henan Jianye in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wuhan Three Towns win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Wuhan Three Towns 40%, draw 28%, Henan Jianye 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wuhan Three Towns), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wuhan Three Towns) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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