Chengdu Qianbao 2-0 Meizhou Hakka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.27
Draw
12%
5.71
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
3.17
Over 2.5
69%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
7.95
2-3 Goals
36%
2.31
4-5 Goals
35%
2.39
6+ Goals
15%
4.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.4
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
23.6
X/1
22%
3.7
X/2
5%
22.7
X/X
6%
10.55
2/1 EV+ ✗
18%
19.1
2/2
3%
14.85
2/X
3%
22.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.1 — our 18% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
74%
+0.3pp
13%
Draw
15%
-2.2pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+1.8pp
31%
Under 2.5
28%
+2.9pp
69%
Over 2.5
72%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.3pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Meizhou Hakka EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.44/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/2.84
+0% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -25%
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
454 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 76%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.8
24.3 Crosses 12.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Meizhou Hakka
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.06 xG 1.14
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
252 Passes 427
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2024 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 1-4 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
04.11.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 3-0 HT 2-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİNSL
07.07.2023 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 3-1 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
19.12.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 3-0 HT 2-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİNK
11.07.2022 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 1-2 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
20.06.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 0-0 HT 0-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
2-0
AWAY Meizhou Hakka
1.18 xG 0.57
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
319 Passes 277
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
43 Box Touches 6
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chengdu Qianbao vs Meizhou Hakka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao beat Meizhou Hakka 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chengdu Qianbao as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (69%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chengdu Qianbao had 53% of the ball to Meizhou Hakka's 47%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.18 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Chengdu Qianbao and 0.83 for Meizhou Hakka.

What was the final score of Chengdu Qianbao vs Meizhou Hakka?

Chengdu Qianbao 2-0 Meizhou Hakka in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chengdu Qianbao vs Meizhou Hakka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Chengdu Qianbao 75%, draw 13%, Meizhou Hakka 13%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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