Tianjin Teda vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions Prediction — Model Probabilities
Tianjin Teda v Cangzhou Mighty Lions — Team-Based Signals
Tianjin Teda vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Tianjin Teda 3-2 Cangzhou Mighty Lions — Actual Match Statistics
Tianjin Teda found just enough to beat Cangzhou Mighty Lions 3-2. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tianjin Teda as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both.
On the day, Tianjin Teda had 56% of the ball to Cangzhou Mighty Lions's 44%, shots finished 36-8, expected goals 3.48 to 0.72 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Tianjin Teda's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tianjin Teda had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tianjin Teda and 0.67 for Cangzhou Mighty Lions.
Tianjin Teda vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions Result & Final Score
Tianjin Teda 3 - 2 Cangzhou Mighty Lions in the China - Super League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Tianjin Teda vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Tianjin Teda win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Tianjin Teda 63%, draw 22%, Cangzhou Mighty Lions 15%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tianjin Teda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.