Tianjin Teda 3-2 Cangzhou Mighty Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 29 Sep 2024

Tianjin Teda
3-2 HT 1-1
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2024

Tianjin Teda vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.7
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.27
6+ Goals
12%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.02
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.0
X/1
20%
3.78
X/2
8%
10.55
X/X
10%
5.63
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.3
2/2
9%
8.21
2/X
5%
16.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 11% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-4.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tianjin Teda v Cangzhou Mighty Lions — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tianjin Teda EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.54/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.64
-34% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +100%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 78%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
22.0 Crosses 17.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0

Tianjin Teda vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tianjin Teda
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.56 xG 0.94
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
427 Passes 367
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.05.2024 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 2-4 HT 0-1 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
11.07.2023 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1-1 HT 1-1 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİNSL
16.04.2023 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 1-1 HT 0-1 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
12.07.2022 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 3-0 HT 1-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
21.06.2022 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0-2 HT 0-2 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
03.01.2022 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 1-0 HT 0-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN

Tianjin Teda 3-2 Cangzhou Mighty Lions — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tianjin Teda
3-2
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions
3.48 xG 0.72
56% Ball Possession 44%
36 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 2
398 Passes 318
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
37 Box Touches 7
44 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tianjin Teda vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tianjin Teda edged past Cangzhou Mighty Lions 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tianjin Teda as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Tianjin Teda had 56% of the ball to Cangzhou Mighty Lions's 44%, shots finished 36-8, expected goals 3.48 to 0.72 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Tianjin Teda's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tianjin Teda had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tianjin Teda and 0.67 for Cangzhou Mighty Lions.

What was the final score of Tianjin Teda vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions?

Tianjin Teda 3-2 Cangzhou Mighty Lions in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tianjin Teda vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tianjin Teda win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Tianjin Teda 55%, draw 23%, Cangzhou Mighty Lions 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tianjin Teda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tianjin Teda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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