Henan Jianye 1-2 Wuhan Three Towns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 1 May 2025

📅01/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.66
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.66 — our 27% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.5
1/2
11%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
11%
4.66
X/2
7%
8.3
X/X
14%
5.24
2/1
11%
22.9
2/2
13%
6.09
2/X
5%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-7.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.7pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 29%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.07/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.48
-15% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
309 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
18.7 Crosses 23.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Henan Jianye
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.99 xG 1.58
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
265 Passes 338
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 1-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
17.05.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 2-3 HT 1-2 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
09.08.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 4-2 HT 1-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
09.05.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-1 HT 1-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
13.11.2022 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 1-3 HT 1-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
17.08.2022 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 0-3 HT 0-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Henan Jianye
1-2
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
2.14 xG 1.11
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
375 Passes 226
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 11
29 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Henan Jianye vs Wuhan Three Towns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wuhan Three Towns edged past Henan Jianye 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Henan Jianye at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Henan Jianye had 60% of the ball to Wuhan Three Towns's 40%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.14 to 1.11 — on chances, Henan Jianye could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wuhan Three Towns led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Henan Jianye and 2.17 for Wuhan Three Towns.

What was the final score of Henan Jianye vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Henan Jianye 1-2 Wuhan Three Towns in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Henan Jianye vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Before kick-off our model rated a Henan Jianye win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Henan Jianye 43%, draw 26%, Wuhan Three Towns 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Henan Jianye) ✗ BTTS No
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