Zhejiang G. FC 4-2 Changchun YaTai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 1 May 2025

📅01/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.33
2-3 Goals
39%
1.99
4-5 Goals
26%
2.56
6+ Goals
14%
5.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.65
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
17.35
X/1
22%
4.12
X/2
8%
14.95
X/X
9%
7.81
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
19.5
2/2
7%
11.45
2/X
7%
19.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.5 — our 11% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-7.6pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.3pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhejiang G. FC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 17%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.14/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/2.19
-17% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -36%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
449 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 81%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
20.4 Crosses 21.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhejiang G. FC
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Changchun YaTai
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.86 xG 1.07
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
372 Passes 258
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 2-2 HT 1-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİNSL
15.06.2024 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 3-1 HT 0-1 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
12.07.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 2-2 HT 1-1 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİNSL
15.04.2023 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
29.06.2022 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-1 HT 0-1 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
07.06.2022 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zhejiang G. FC
4-2
AWAY Changchun YaTai
2.42 xG 1.09
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
414 Passes 312
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zhejiang G. FC vs Changchun YaTai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zhejiang G. FC saw off Changchun YaTai 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zhejiang G. FC as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zhejiang G. FC had 55% of the ball to Changchun YaTai's 45%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.42 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zhejiang G. FC and 1.33 for Changchun YaTai.

What was the final score of Zhejiang G. FC vs Changchun YaTai?

Zhejiang G. FC 4-2 Changchun YaTai in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhejiang G. FC vs Changchun YaTai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zhejiang G. FC win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Zhejiang G. FC 59%, draw 21%, Changchun YaTai 21%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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