Zhejiang G. FC 3-1 Changchun YaTai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.98
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.59
2-3 Goals
37%
2.26
4-5 Goals
28%
2.42
6+ Goals
15%
4.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.7
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.7
X/1
11%
4.05
X/2
7%
13.7
X/X
8%
8.27
2/1 EV+ ✓
8%
17.9
2/2
8%
8.66
2/X
5%
16.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.9 — our 8% vs market 3.0%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
65%
-5.0pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.4pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.8pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhejiang G. FC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 20%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.35/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.47
+2% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
419 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
23.3 Crosses 15.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhejiang G. FC
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Changchun YaTai
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.55 xG 0.95
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
331 Passes 286
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.07.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 2-2 HT 1-1 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİNSL
15.04.2023 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
29.06.2022 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-1 HT 0-1 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
07.06.2022 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
13.10.2021 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 4-0 HT 1-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİNK
01.11.2020 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 0-0 HT 0-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zhejiang G. FC
3-1
AWAY Changchun YaTai
2.72 xG 1.45
63% Ball Possession 37%
29 Total Shots 13
12 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
446 Passes 231
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
60 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zhejiang G. FC vs Changchun YaTai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zhejiang G. FC beat Changchun YaTai 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zhejiang G. FC as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zhejiang G. FC had 63% of the ball to Changchun YaTai's 37%, shots finished 29-13, expected goals 2.72 to 1.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Changchun YaTai led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Zhejiang G. FC and 1.50 for Changchun YaTai.

What was the final score of Zhejiang G. FC vs Changchun YaTai?

Zhejiang G. FC 3-1 Changchun YaTai in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhejiang G. FC vs Changchun YaTai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zhejiang G. FC win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Zhejiang G. FC 60%, draw 20%, Changchun YaTai 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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