Henan Jianye 2-1 Beijing Guoan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.51
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.4
6+ Goals
12%
12.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.98
1/2
9%
33.5
1/X
6%
12.4
X/1
9%
4.92
X/2
9%
6.87
X/X
14%
4.57
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
13%
4.78
2/X
6%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.3pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.32/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.05
-11% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
20.4 Crosses 15.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Henan Jianye
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Beijing Guoan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.12 xG 1.65
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
220 Passes 326
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 3-1 HT 2-1 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
05.05.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 0-1 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
04.11.2022 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-1 HT 1-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
07.08.2022 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 3-0 HT 2-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
27.07.2019 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-0 HT 1-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
14.04.2019 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-1 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Henan Jianye
2-1
AWAY Beijing Guoan
1.79 xG 0.98
49% Ball Possession 51%
24 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 1
329 Passes 359
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
33 Box Touches 9
32 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Henan Jianye edged past Beijing Guoan 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Henan Jianye as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Henan Jianye had 49% of the ball to Beijing Guoan's 51%, shots finished 24-9, expected goals 1.79 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Henan Jianye and 1.33 for Beijing Guoan.

What was the final score of Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan?

Henan Jianye 2-1 Beijing Guoan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Henan Jianye win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Henan Jianye 43%, draw 26%, Beijing Guoan 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Henan Jianye), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Henan Jianye) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİN More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
15 Jun 2024
14:35 Zhejiang G. FC vs Changchun YaTai Analysis →