Dalian Zhixing 3-2 Yunnan Yukun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 1 May 2025

📅01/05/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.14
2-3 Goals
45%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.46
6+ Goals
8%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 28% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.35
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.95
X/1
16%
4.36
X/2
15%
9.06
X/X
15%
4.91
2/1
8%
24.2
2/2
8%
7.23
2/X
7%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-10.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.5pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dalian Zhixing
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Yunnan Yukun
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.49 xG 2.04
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
211 Passes 211
69% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2024 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 2-0 HT 2-0 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing ÇİN2
15.06.2024 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 0-3 HT 0-1 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dalian Zhixing
3-2
AWAY Yunnan Yukun
2.07 xG 1.64
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
339 Passes 270
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
48 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dalian Zhixing vs Yunnan Yukun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dalian Zhixing nicked a narrow win over Yunnan Yukun 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dalian Zhixing as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dalian Zhixing had 53% of the ball to Yunnan Yukun's 47%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 2.07 to 1.64.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Yunnan Yukun led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Dalian Zhixing and 2.50 for Yunnan Yukun.

What was the final score of Dalian Zhixing vs Yunnan Yukun?

Dalian Zhixing 3-2 Yunnan Yukun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dalian Zhixing vs Yunnan Yukun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dalian Zhixing win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dalian Zhixing 43%, draw 30%, Yunnan Yukun 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dalian Zhixing) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dalian Zhixing) ✗ Under 2.5
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